gop leaders

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How Long Can Santorum Go?

February 14th, 2012 - Post by Benjamin Soldaat

Ever since Ginrich’s downfall in Florida, Santorum has surged to the front runner position – once again.  Romney’s strategy has been simple and well played: don’t attack more than one enemy at once.  It worked for Napoleon, Germany, and Israel.  Fighting a multiple front war is usually a bad idea.  Instead all of these countries when they are/were successful tackled one enemy at a time in succession. That brings us back to Romney, who, in succession, has trained his fire on Perry, Cain, Ginrich (multiple times), and now Santorum.   It’s as if we’ve entered a rotating series of conflicts, with foes dying and subsequently re-appearing later on to challenge Kingdom Romney. Except that the other kingdoms are tattered countries without any gold, populated [...] Read more


With Endorsements Like These…

February 2nd, 2012 - Post by Matthew Campbell

Do endorsements matter in a competitive contest like the one we’re witnessing this year within the Republican Party?  You bet they do, although the result might not always be as planned!  Take, for example, today’s surprise announcement by real estate mogul and The Apprentice star Donald Trump that he was going to be endorsing Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney.  News that The Donald’s support of Candidate Romney had all of the trademarks of practically every peep that Donald Trump has made regarding politics during the past twelve months.  The Republican-turned Independent-turned Democrat-turned Independent-turned Republican has made a public spectacle of himself by openly debating whether or not he would enter the Presidential race as either a Republican or third party candidate, [...] Read more


Florida: Santorum’s Last Stand

January 26th, 2012 - Post by Benjamin Soldaat

Santorum’s biggest problem is the same as Gingrich’s: not enough money, not enough manpower. The feats that both campaigns managed to muster in Iowa and in South Carolina are breathtaking given that they were unlikely victories in the GOP nomination.  Who would have guessed that Gingrich would have made yet another comeback in this race?  And Santorum’s last minute rise in Iowa was predicted by just who? They’ve been running similar campaigns: appealing to anti-Romney votes including social conservatives, and defense hawks along with some passive courting of the Tea Party along the way.  The problem is Romney’s been around longer, he’s fund-raised more, and, he’s managed to keep himself far more disciplined than either Santorum or Gingrich. Gingrich’s campaign [...] Read more


Florida’s Next Debate Can Only Get Better

January 26th, 2012 - Post by Laura Livingstone

Florida’s second debate this evening will doubtless improve on its first debate, held Jan. 23 at USF in Tampa. Everything about it was mediocre at best, painful at worst. The audience was asked to withhold its applause for the sake of a fluid debate – not that there was much to applaud for with answers to Beth Reinhard’s slanted and unnecessary questions. Gingrich’s sweeping win of South Carolina came after his impassioned response to John King’s question regarding alleged false allegations concerning his second ex-wife. His verbal slaughter of liberal-controlled media for daring to include such a question in the debate had the crowd on its feet, and landed him a large win coming out of that state. But here in Florida, a [...] Read more


Little Grace For the Christian Right’s Prospects in 2012…

January 19th, 2012 - Post by Matthew Campbell

If observers of the South Carolina vote on Saturday aren’t careful, they’ll miss what might be the biggest shift in the Republican Party since Ronald Reagan came close to winning the 1976 nomination against incumbent President Gerald Ford.  Consider that for the past 30 years a prominent family values candidate has either won the Republican nod or held the eventual winner to a very long race that forced that challenger to go out of his way to pay lip service to the social conservative wing of the GOP.  2012 by all accounts is shaping up to be very different. Don’t misunderstand my argument here: as showcased once again tonight in South Carolina during the CNN debate, the weighty matters of [...] Read more


Three’s Company, Four’s A Crowd: New Hampshire’s Way of Shrinking the GOP Field

January 10th, 2012 - Post by Matthew Campbell

Tonight I want to forget about Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, the two candidates in the GOP presidential primaries race who also happened to come first and second, respectfully tonight.  This isn’t because of any disregard for these two gentlemen but because after results like we’ve seen in New Hampshire tonight, the far more interesting activity will be observed among those who came after Paul in the Live Free or Die state.  Romney has established himself as the frontrunner and standard bearer for the left/moderate wing of the Republican Party; Paul has carved out a reliable coalition between libertarian and anti-establishment conservatives but with these two candidate’s carving up 62% of the vote between them in tonight’s outcome because of [...] Read more


Romney Wins South Carolina?

January 7th, 2012 - Post by Benjamin Soldaat

If the Republican Nomination battle were to be compared to a time in history it would have to be feudal ages.  Numerous lords, everyone fighting each other, and no one single dominant overlord emerging victorious. Everyone hates everybody now.  I don’t think the word “hate” is too strong a word.  Romney hates Gingrich.  Santorum hates Romney.  Paul and Gingrich hate everybody.  It’s quite the love fest going on in the Republican party right now.  I don’t know a single person who hasn’t been called “not a true conservative.”  I’m starting to wonder who is anymore. As the battle field expands to New Hampshire, the electoral armies have re-organized themselves for South Carolina… Or at least you would figure they would. [...] Read more


The Ghost of Romney Past Pays a Visit Tonight

January 3rd, 2012 - Post by Matthew Campbell

At the time of this posting, there’s an interesting dynamic playing itself out in the first results of the 2012 Presidential election season: the two veterans, Mitt Romney and Ron Paul are posting significantly different stories tonight in Iowa.  Based on the historical data found on our Iowa predication page, Ron Paul is poised to end tonight with over double the percentage he received four years ago in 2008 (22% vs 10% as of 10:12 pm ET).  Romney, on the other hand is slightly down but at about the same level he received during his own tour for public office in 2008 (24% today vs 25% four years ago). The perceived wisdom that Rep. Paul cannot win this race might [...] Read more


Welcome to “2008 Election: The Sequel”

January 1st, 2012 - Post by Matthew Campbell

As an introduction to Election Target coverage to the 2012 US Presidential Election, each of our contributors  offers his or her thoughts on who they think will win the GOP nomination this spring and, ultimately, the presidency in November of this year…(first of a multi-part series) Watching a political party which held party for a long period of time rediscover its way to victory is like watching someone start through the stages of denial, except that they typically get stuck on the denial stage until a game-changer comes along and snaps them down to acceptance and rebuilding.  Consider the recently dethroned dynasty parties in the western world:  The Liberal parties in both Australia and Canada; the pre-Cameron Conservatives in the [...] Read more


Welcome to Election Target’s new blog

December 28th, 2011 - Post by admin

Welcome to our new blog. Be sure to follow along closely and keep in touch because we’ll be posting regularly about political issues all the way up until November 2012. Until next time…